{"id":45770,"date":"2025-01-15T09:22:11","date_gmt":"2025-01-15T13:22:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/?p=45770"},"modified":"2025-01-15T09:22:11","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T13:22:11","slug":"opinion-predicting-the-trump-presidency","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/opinion\/2025\/01\/15\/opinion-predicting-the-trump-presidency\/","title":{"rendered":"Opinion: Predicting the Trump presidency"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With Trump\u2019s inauguration as 47th President being less than a week away now, many are speculating on what his (non consecutive) second term will look like. While I typically try to remain optimistic when our political climate shifts, these past few months have felt like an insane fever dream. The 2024 election, which was predicted to be a close race, ended with Trump winning both the popular and electoral vote, something he had not been able to achieve in his two previous campaigns. He was also able to secure the election while being embroiled in his own <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/wgbh\/frontline\/article\/a-guide-to-the-criminal-cases-against-donald-trump\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">court proceedings <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">following the criminal charges he received in March 2023 from the state of New York. This makes Trump the first convicted felon to hold office.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">My concern has grown worse with the impending Inauguration Day, and I\u2019m definitely not the only American filled with uncertainty about Trump\u2019s new administration. What will happen to our economy in the midst of inflation and record high prices? What is our foreign relations going to look like? Will Trump follow through on his plans for mass deportation? Here are some of my predictions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Immigration-\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From the get-go Trump has been very clear about his <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.donaldjtrump.com\/issues\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">views on immigration<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">,\u00a0 specifically the idea that illegal immigrants are criminals and should be treated as such. Trump has stated in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/time.com\/7206595\/donald-trump-day-one-promises-pardons-border-executive-order\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">several interviews <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0and during his campaign rallies that he plans to launch the \u201clargest mass deportation operation\u201d on day one. He previously said he would reinstate the travel ban which would restrict entrance into the US for foreigners, mostly from predominantly Muslim countries. The travel ban would now\u00a0 <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/time.com\/7022828\/trump-travel-ban-refugees-gaza\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">expand the list <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0to include refugees from the Gaza strip.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Prediction # 1:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Because deportation and border control has been at the forefront of Trump\u2019s priorities for a long time now, I do believe these will swiftly be put in place. That coupled with the growing public support for these policies could likely mean much stricter laws on immigration moving forward, and possibly a rise in xenophobic attitudes towards Muslims.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Economy-<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.usnews.com\/news\/economy\/articles\/2024-09-12\/yes-inflation-is-falling-but-prices-remain-high-and-rate-cuts-will-likely-come-slowly#:~:text=There's%20no%20doubt%20that%20inflation,as%20it%20fell%20to%202.5%25\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">US inflation rate<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> has been slowing down a bit lately, consumer goods are still ridiculously expensive. As the gap between the upper and lower class continues to widen, many Americans are forced to live paycheck to paycheck. Trump\u2019s economic plan focuses heavily on large tariffs as well as lower marginal income tax rates for most income brackets. He also intends to cut out payroll taxes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Prediction #2: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trump\u2019s main reasoning for wanting large tariffs is that he believes it would encourage companies to come into the United States, build factories, create more jobs, while still generating revenue. This is actually a misinterpretation of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/articles\/tariffs-on-all-imports-would-create-chaos-for-business\/#:~:text=The%20repercussions%20of%20these%20tariffs,input%20prices%20or%20foreign%20retaliation\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">how tariffs work <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. A disruption in the global supply chain like this could not only worsen the National Debt, but it would also raise prices for consumers. Similarly, cutting taxes would not benefit the average American, only the wealthy one percenters. Cutting back on both federal and payroll taxes could mean an end for Social Security and Medicare, or at least <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.crfb.org\/blogs\/what-would-trump-campaign-plans-mean-social-security\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">worsen them<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Under Trump\u2019s economic plan I predict a surge of price increases and supply decreases.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Foreign Policy-<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The most recently introduced and perhaps shocking initiative of the President-elect is to purchase Greenland, take control of the Panama Canal, and make Canada the 51st state. While many news outlets have <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/01\/13\/politics\/fact-check-trumps-false-claims-canada\/index.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">speculated<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that this is a mere facade to assert dominance over other nations, Trump has posted about this on multiple social media accounts and has been treating it as a serious issue. Additionally, another new development in the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict has arisen. Talks of a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/world\/live-news\/israel-hamas-gaza-ceasefire-deal-talks-01-14-25-intl\/index.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ceasefire<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> have been in the works for weeks now, and mediators are trying to get some sort of resolution put together. A CNN source has stated that Netanyahu wants to keep a close relationship with Trump.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Prediction #3: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">I\u2019m sure this comes as a shock to no one that I don\u2019t see the United States annexing Greenland, the Panama Canal, or Canada as a realistic possibility. I would chalk this up to being a bullying tactic and a sign that the spirit of Manifest Destiny lives on in our politicians today. However the ceasefire seems completely feasible and would boast favorably for Trump if it occurs post Inauguration Day.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While there is still a wide array of issues that President Trump is passionate about, I believe these three will be the most talked about ones in his early days in office. The Trump administration will bring about a new era, and while I\u2019m not ecstatic about all of the changes that could occur, I have faith in democracy. No one truly knows what will happen next in our country, but we can hope for positive outcomes and ever growing progress.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With Trump\u2019s inauguration as 47th President being less than a week away now, many are speculating on what his (non consecutive) second term will look like. While I typically try to remain optimistic when our political climate shifts, these past few months have felt like an insane fever dream. The 2024 election, which was predicted&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":45790,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,11],"tags":[],"staff_name":[1400],"class_list":["post-45770","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","category-top-stories","staff_name-marie-quiles-rosa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45770","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45770"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45770\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45771,"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45770\/revisions\/45771"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45790"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45770"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45770"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45770"},{"taxonomy":"staff_name","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.knightcrier.org\/app-json\/wp\/v2\/staff_name?post=45770"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}